Selected outcome
4.95% or above
31%
4.95% or above · 31%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 4.93% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 21, 2026?
69%
Open · ~$527 24h · ~$527 vol
wide spread 58–73%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 73¢
- 4.91% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 21, 2026?
90%
Open · ~$275 24h · ~$275 vol
wide spread 84–98%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 98¢
- 4.95% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026?
31%
Open · ~$230 24h · ~$230 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 36¢
- 4.87% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 21, 2026?
98%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$16 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 99¢
- 4.89% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 21, 2026?
96%
Open · ~$12 24h · ~$12 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢
- 5.03% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$5 vol
last
Ask 2¢
- 4.99% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1 vol
Ask 6¢
- 4.97% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 21, 2026?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 10¢
- 5.01% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 3¢
- 4.81% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 21, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- 4.83% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 21, 2026?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 99¢
- 4.85% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 21, 2026?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 99¢
- 5.05% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
- 5.07% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.09% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.