Selected outcome
4.94% or above
wide spread 37–62%
4.94% or above
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 4.76% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$118 24h · ~$260 vol
wide spread 75–95%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 95¢
- 4.78% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$240 vol
wide spread 71–93%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 93¢
- 4.8% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 30, 2026?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$51 vol
wide spread 67–92%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 92¢
- 4.82% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$138 vol
wide spread 64–89%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 89¢
- 4.84% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–86%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 86¢
- 4.86% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,475 vol
wide spread 56–82%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 82¢
- 4.88% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 52–78%
Bid 52¢ · Ask 78¢
- 4.9% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$143 vol
wide spread 49–73%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 73¢
- 4.92% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,393 vol
wide spread 44–68%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 68¢
- 4.94% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–62%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 62¢
- 5.26% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.25% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 11¢
- 5.28% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.27% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 10¢
- 5.3% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.29% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
- 5.32% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
- 5.34% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.33% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
- 5.36% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.35% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- 5.38% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 5¢
- 5.4% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.39% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 4¢
- 5.42% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.41% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
Ask 3¢
- 5.44% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.43% on Oct 30, 2026?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
last
Ask 3¢
- 4.96% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$340 vol
wide spread 34–57%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 57¢
- 4.98% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$170 vol
wide spread 26–50%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 50¢
- 5% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$53 vol
wide spread 21–46%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 46¢
- 5.02% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$221 vol
wide spread 18–43%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 43¢
- 5.04% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$119 vol
wide spread 14–39%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 39¢
- 5.06% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–35%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 35¢
- 5.08% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–32%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 32¢
- 5.1% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$209 vol
wide spread 7–29%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 29¢
- 5.12% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$301 vol
wide spread 4–25%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 25¢
- 5.14% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$215 vol
wide spread 4–23%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 23¢
- 5.16% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$82 vol
Ask 21¢
- 5.18% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol
Ask 18¢
- 5.2% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 30, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$600 vol
Ask 17¢
- 5.22% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 30, 2026?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
last
Ask 14¢
- 5.24% or above
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 30, 2026?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
last
Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.