Selected outcome
4.92% or above
wide spread 82–96%
84%
4.92% or above · 84%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 4.86% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 23, 2026?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$90 vol
last
Bid 90¢
- 4.88% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 86¢
- 4.9% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 85¢
- 4.92% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 23, 2026?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$84 vol
wide spread 82–96%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 96¢
- 4.94% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 77–93%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 93¢
- 4.96% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 71–89%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 89¢
- 4.98% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 62–82%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 82¢
- 5% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 54–74%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 74¢
- 5.02% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 44–57%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 57¢
- 5.04% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–50%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 50¢
- 5.06% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–44%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 44¢
- 5.08% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–36%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 36¢
- 5.1% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–29%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 29¢
- 5.12% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 23, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–23%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 23¢
- 5.14% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 23, 2026?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
last
Ask 18¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 23, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.