Selected outcome
4.95% or above
98%
4.95% or above · 98%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 5.03% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$317 24h · ~$317 vol
wide spread 25–40%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 40¢
- 5.05% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026?
15%
Open · ~$89 24h · ~$89 vol
wide spread 5–24%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 24¢
- 5.01% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026?
71%
Open · ~$40 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 68–81%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 81¢
- 5.07% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$39 24h · ~$39 vol
Ask 9¢
- 4.97% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Oct 21, 2026?
97%
Open · ~$15 24h · ~$15 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- 5.11% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$3 vol
Ask 3¢
- 4.99% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Oct 21, 2026?
95%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 98¢
- 4.91% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Oct 21, 2026?
99%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$1 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- 5.09% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 4¢
- 4.93% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Oct 21, 2026?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 99¢
- 4.95% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 99¢
- 5.13% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.15% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 2¢
- 5.17% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
- 5.19% or above
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Oct 21, 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 1¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 3:30 PM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.