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Which countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?

Open

December 2026 vs December 2025

Selected outcome

India

53%

India · 53%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Feb 18, 2027 ET
Resolution source
U.S. Department of the Treasury (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • India

    Will India's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?

    53%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$597 vol

    Bid 52¢ · Ask 53¢

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  • Brazil

    Will Brazil's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?

    40%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol

    Bid 35¢ · Ask 45¢

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  • Canada

    Will Canada's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?

    41%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol

    Bid 40¢ · Ask 41¢

    Open full market view →
  • Mainland China

    Will Mainland China's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?

    16%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,129 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 18¢

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  • France

    Will France's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?

    61%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol

    Bid 56¢ · Ask 66¢

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  • Japan

    Will Japan's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$121 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 17¢

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  • South Korea

    Will South Korea's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?

    33%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$115 vol

    Bid 28¢ · Ask 38¢

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  • Norway

    Will Norway's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?

    40%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$140 vol

    Bid 35¢ · Ask 45¢

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  • Saudi Arabia

    Will Saudi Arabia's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?

    35%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$68 vol

    Bid 30¢ · Ask 40¢

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  • Taiwan

    Will Taiwan's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?

    33%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol

    Bid 28¢ · Ask 38¢

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  • UAE

    Will the UAE's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?

    82%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    Bid 81¢ · Ask 82¢

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  • United Kingdom

    Will the United Kingdom's U.S. Treasury holdings increase in 2026?

    85%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,396 vol

    Bid 84¢ · Ask 85¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
~$1
Volume
~$4,666
Liquidity
—
Open int.
9,071 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Feb 18, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the U.S. Treasury securities holdings reported for India for December 2026 are above the holdings reported for India for December 2025 in the same first non-preliminary edition of Table 5 that contains December 2026 data, then the market resolves to Yes.

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