Selected outcome
At least 1
wide spread 24–58%
At least 1
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jun 29, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- At least 2
Will there be at least 2 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?
17%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$953 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 20¢
- At least 1
Will there be at least 1 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,256 vol
wide spread 24–58%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 58¢
- At least 3
Will there be at least 3 VEI4 eruptions worldwide in 2026?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$734 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jun 29, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is at least 1, then the market resolves to Yes.