Selected outcome
Ben Carroll
17%
Ben Carroll · 17%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- The New York Times (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Ben Carroll
Will it be confirmed that Ben Carroll is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 19¢
- Danny O'Brien
Will it be confirmed that Danny O'Brien is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$77 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢
- Ellen Sandell
Will it be confirmed that Ellen Sandell is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Jess Wilson
Will it be confirmed that Jess Wilson is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 66¢ · Ask 75¢
- Warren Pickering
Will it be confirmed that Warren Pickering is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Ben Carroll is the first person to serve as Premier of Victoria after the caretaker period for the 2026 Victorian state election ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.