Selected outcome
At least 50%
79%
At least 50% · 79%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 52%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
51%
Open · ~$284 24h · ~$7,869 vol
Bid 49¢ · Ask 53¢
- At least 48%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
97%
Open · ~$176 24h · ~$16k vol
Bid 96¢ · Ask 98¢
- At least 49%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro receive at least 49% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
93%
Open · ~$141 24h · ~$9,551 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 52.5%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro receive at least 52.5% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
38%
Open · ~$108 24h · ~$295 vol
Bid 35¢ · Ask 41¢
- At least 51%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro receive at least 51% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
67%
Open · ~$32 24h · ~$3,858 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 71¢
- At least 53%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro receive at least 53% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
24%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$886 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 26¢
- At least 55%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$339 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 8¢
- At least 54%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
9%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$655 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 12¢
- At least 50%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,999 vol
Bid 75¢ · Ask 83¢
- At least 56%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$97 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.