Selected outcome
At least 44%
97%
At least 44% · 97%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 47%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
79%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$6,102 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 80¢
- At least 48%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
57%
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$3,813 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 60¢
- At least 47.5%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 47.5% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
68%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$149 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 73¢
- At least 51%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 51% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$384 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 12¢
- At least 44%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 95¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 45%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15k vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 98¢
- At least 46%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,189 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 96¢
- At least 49%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 49% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,112 vol
Bid 34¢ · Ask 44¢
- At least 50%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$869 vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 25¢
- At least 52%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$485 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 25, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.