Selected outcome
At least 38%
91%
At least 38% · 91%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Alaska Division of Elections (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 44%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?
47%
Open · ~$188 24h · ~$188 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 47¢
- At least 46%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?
28%
Open · ~$140 24h · ~$143 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 29¢
- At least 50%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?
8%
Open · ~$21 24h · ~$83 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 9¢
- At least 38%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,913 vol
Bid 87¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 40%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 85¢
- At least 42%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 68¢
- At least 48%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 17¢
- At least 52%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$83 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 54%
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$238 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins in the first round of the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.