Selected outcome
At least 58%
7%
At least 58% · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 46%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 48%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 50%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,130 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93¢
- At least 52%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$158 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 69¢
- At least 54%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?
42%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 46¢
- At least 56%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?
20%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 24¢
- At least 58%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 60%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
last
Ask 7¢
- At least 62%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- At least 64%
Will Katie Hobbs receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Katie Hobbs in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.