Selected outcome
At least 30%
At least 30%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 37%
Will Steve Hilton receive at least 37% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- At least 30%
Will Steve Hilton receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 32%
Will Steve Hilton receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 34%
Will Steve Hilton receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 80–91%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91¢
- At least 36%
Will Steve Hilton receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
71%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
Bid 66¢ · Ask 75¢
- At least 38%
Will Steve Hilton receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$352 vol
wide spread 47–58%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 58¢
- At least 40%
Will Steve Hilton receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$61 vol
wide spread 28–39%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 39¢
- At least 42%
Will Steve Hilton receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 13–24%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 24¢
- At least 44%
Will Steve Hilton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 14¢
- At least 46%
Will Steve Hilton receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 California gubernatorial election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$81 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Hilton in the 2026 California gubernatorial election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.