Selected outcome
At least 36%
wide spread 62–73%
73%
At least 36% · 73%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 36%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?
73%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$7 vol
wide spread 62–73%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 73¢
- At least 32%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢
- At least 34%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$558 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 90¢
- At least 38%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 40–51%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 51¢
- At least 40%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–30%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 30¢
- At least 42%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
- At least 44%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 9¢
- At least 46%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- At least 48%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- At least 50%
Will Darren Bailey receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$173 vol
last
Ask 5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darren Bailey in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.