Selected outcome
At least 50%
94%
At least 50% · 94%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Office of the Secretary of State, Santa Fe, NM (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 46%
Will Deb Haaland receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$188 vol
last
Bid 94¢
- At least 48%
Will Deb Haaland receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 50%
Will Deb Haaland receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 52%
Will Deb Haaland receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 78–89%
Bid 78¢ · Ask 89¢
- At least 54%
Will Deb Haaland receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 61–72%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 72¢
- At least 56%
Will Deb Haaland receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?
46%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$281 vol
wide spread 39–50%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 50¢
- At least 58%
Will Deb Haaland receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?
27%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$108 vol
wide spread 20–31%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 31¢
- At least 60%
Will Deb Haaland receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$68 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 17¢
- At least 62%
Will Deb Haaland receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
- At least 64%
Will Deb Haaland receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Deb Haaland in the 2026 New Mexico gubernatorial election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.