Selected outcome
At least 50%
wide spread 42–53%
At least 50%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 40%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 42%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 44%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 46%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$41 vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 93¢
- At least 48%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,285 vol
wide spread 65–76%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 76¢
- At least 50%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,538 vol
wide spread 42–53%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 53¢
- At least 52%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 19–30%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 30¢
- At least 54%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
- At least 56%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
last
Ask 8¢
- At least 58%
Will Aaron Ford receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
last
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Aaron Ford in the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.