Selected outcome
At least 48%
At least 48%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Office of the Secretary of State, Pierre, SD (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 30%
Will Dan Ahlers receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 32%
Will Dan Ahlers receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢
- At least 34%
Will Dan Ahlers receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 36%
Will Dan Ahlers receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$471 vol
wide spread 78–89%
Bid 78¢ · Ask 89¢
- At least 38%
Will Dan Ahlers receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$114 vol
wide spread 63–74%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 74¢
- At least 40%
Will Dan Ahlers receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–56%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 56¢
- At least 42%
Will Dan Ahlers receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$276 vol
wide spread 26–37%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢
- At least 44%
Will Dan Ahlers receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- At least 46%
Will Dan Ahlers receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 13¢
- At least 48%
Will Dan Ahlers receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dan Ahlers in the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election is 48% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.