Selected outcome
At least 46%
wide spread 13–24%
At least 46%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 42%
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$2 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 49–60%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 60¢
- At least 32%
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 34%
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$17 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 36%
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 97¢
- At least 38%
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 82¢ · Ask 92¢
- At least 40%
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 77¢
- At least 44%
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
wide spread 29–40%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 40¢
- At least 46%
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 13–24%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 24¢
- At least 48%
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$120 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 13¢
- At least 50%
Will Kevin Lincoln receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-13 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$95 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Kevin Lincoln in the 2026 CA-13 House election is 46% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.