Selected outcome
At least 54%
wide spread 83–94%
At least 54%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 52%
Will Jim Costa receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢
- At least 54%
Will Jim Costa receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94¢
- At least 56%
Will Jim Costa receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?
78%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$80 vol
wide spread 69–80%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 80¢
- At least 58%
Will Jim Costa receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–59%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 59¢
- At least 60%
Will Jim Costa receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 26–37%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢
- At least 62%
Will Jim Costa receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 20¢
- At least 64%
Will Jim Costa receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 66%
Will Jim Costa receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 68%
Will Jim Costa receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-21 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jim Costa in the 2026 CA-21 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.