Selected outcome
At least 50%
10%
At least 50% · 10%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 38%
Will David Valadao receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢
- At least 40%
Will David Valadao receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97¢
- At least 42%
Will David Valadao receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–84%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 84¢
- At least 44%
Will David Valadao receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?
64%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol
wide spread 55–66%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 66¢
- At least 46%
Will David Valadao receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol
wide spread 33–44%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 44¢
- At least 48%
Will David Valadao receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$84 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- At least 50%
Will David Valadao receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$250 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 13¢
- At least 52%
Will David Valadao receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$21 vol
last
Ask 8¢
- At least 54%
Will David Valadao receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by David Valadao in the 2026 CA-22 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.