Selected outcome
At least 52%
wide spread 82–94%
88%
At least 52% · 88%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 50%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,579 vol
last
Bid 90¢
- At least 52%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$176 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 94¢
- At least 54%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$140 vol
wide spread 69–81%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 81¢
- At least 56%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 51–63%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢
- At least 58%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–44%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 44¢
- At least 60%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- At least 62%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
- At least 64%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
- At least 66%
Will Derek Tran receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-45 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derek Tran in the 2026 CA-45 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.