Selected outcome
At least 38%
wide spread 58–70%
At least 38%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- At least 32%
Will Armen Kurdian receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 34%
Will Armen Kurdian receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 85–97%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 97¢
- At least 36%
Will Armen Kurdian receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- At least 38%
Will Armen Kurdian receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
- At least 40%
Will Armen Kurdian receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 39–51%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 51¢
- At least 42%
Will Armen Kurdian receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- At least 44%
Will Armen Kurdian receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 20¢
- At least 46%
Will Armen Kurdian receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-49 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Armen Kurdian in the 2026 CA-49 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.