Selected outcome
At least 50%
wide spread 70–81%
At least 50%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 44%
Will Sarah Trone Garriott receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 46%
Will Sarah Trone Garriott receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 48%
Will Sarah Trone Garriott receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,097 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 50%
Will Sarah Trone Garriott receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 70–81%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 81¢
- At least 52%
Will Sarah Trone Garriott receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 47–58%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 58¢
- At least 54%
Will Sarah Trone Garriott receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 23–34%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 34¢
- At least 56%
Will Sarah Trone Garriott receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 17¢
- At least 58%
Will Sarah Trone Garriott receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
- At least 60%
Will Sarah Trone Garriott receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sarah Trone Garriott in the 2026 IA-03 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.