Selected outcome
At least 42%
wide spread 18–29%
At least 42%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 34%
Will Thomas Smith receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 36%
Will Thomas Smith receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- At least 38%
Will Thomas Smith receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–69%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 69¢
- At least 40%
Will Thomas Smith receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–48%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 48¢
- At least 42%
Will Thomas Smith receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–29%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 29¢
- At least 44%
Will Thomas Smith receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 16¢
- At least 46%
Will Thomas Smith receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
- At least 48%
Will Thomas Smith receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-08 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 50%
Will Thomas Smith receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- At least 52%
Will Thomas Smith receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 MI-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Thomas Smith in the 2026 MI-08 House election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.