Selected outcome
At least 54%
wide spread 4–15%
At least 54%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 40%
Will Mike Lawler receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 42%
Will Mike Lawler receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 44%
Will Mike Lawler receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,008 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 46%
Will Mike Lawler receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
wide spread 72–83%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 83¢
- At least 48%
Will Mike Lawler receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$124 vol
Bid 55¢ · Ask 65¢
- At least 50%
Will Mike Lawler receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?
38%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$97 vol
wide spread 35–46%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 46¢
- At least 52%
Will Mike Lawler receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$250 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 31¢
- At least 54%
Will Mike Lawler receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-17 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Lawler in the 2026 NY-17 House election is 54% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.