Selected outcome
At least 58%
wide spread 57–68%
At least 58%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 52%
Will John Mannion receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 54%
Will John Mannion receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97¢
- At least 56%
Will John Mannion receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$146 vol
wide spread 74–85%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 85¢
- At least 58%
Will John Mannion receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 57–68%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 68¢
- At least 60%
Will John Mannion receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–48%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 48¢
- At least 62%
Will John Mannion receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–30%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 30¢
- At least 64%
Will John Mannion receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 17¢
- At least 66%
Will John Mannion receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
- At least 68%
Will John Mannion receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-22 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Mannion in the 2026 NY-22 House election is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.