Selected outcome
At least 1%
wide spread 43–54%
At least 1%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 1%
Will Blay Tarnoff receive at least 1% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$160 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
- At least 2%
Will Blay Tarnoff receive at least 2% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$183 vol
wide spread 18–29%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 29¢
- At least 3%
Will Blay Tarnoff receive at least 3% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 19¢
- At least 4%
Will Blay Tarnoff receive at least 4% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$37 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 16¢
- At least 5%
Will Blay Tarnoff receive at least 5% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 6%
Will Blay Tarnoff receive at least 6% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
- At least 7%
Will Blay Tarnoff receive at least 7% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Blay Tarnoff in the 2026 NY-04 House election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.