Selected outcome
At least 50%
wide spread 84–95%
At least 50%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Albany, NY (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 48%
Will Laura Gillen receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢
- At least 50%
Will Laura Gillen receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 52%
Will Laura Gillen receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 84¢
- At least 54%
Will Laura Gillen receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 57–68%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 68¢
- At least 56%
Will Laura Gillen receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 39–50%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 50¢
- At least 58%
Will Laura Gillen receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–33%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢
- At least 60%
Will Laura Gillen receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 20¢
- At least 62%
Will Laura Gillen receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 64%
Will Laura Gillen receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Laura Gillen in the 2026 NY-04 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.