Selected outcome
At least 50%
wide spread 80–91%
At least 50%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Richmond, VA (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 44%
Will Elaine Luria receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 46%
Will Elaine Luria receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 48%
Will Elaine Luria receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 50%
Will Elaine Luria receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 80–91%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91¢
- At least 52%
Will Elaine Luria receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 59–70%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 70¢
- At least 54%
Will Elaine Luria receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$127 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
- At least 56%
Will Elaine Luria receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- At least 58%
Will Elaine Luria receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 60%
Will Elaine Luria receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 VA-02 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Elaine Luria in the 2026 VA-02 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.