Selected outcome
At least 50%
wide spread 15–26%
At least 50%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Wisconsin Elections Commission, Madison, WI (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 40%
Will Derrick Van Orden receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-03 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 42%
Will Derrick Van Orden receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 44%
Will Derrick Van Orden receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- At least 46%
Will Derrick Van Orden receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 57–68%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 68¢
- At least 48%
Will Derrick Van Orden receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
- At least 50%
Will Derrick Van Orden receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-03 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- At least 52%
Will Derrick Van Orden receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-03 House election?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 13¢
- At least 54%
Will Derrick Van Orden receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-03 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
- At least 56%
Will Derrick Van Orden receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 WI-03 House election?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Derrick Van Orden in the 2026 WI-03 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.