Selected outcome
At least 44%
wide spread 66–77%
At least 44%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 48%
Will Connie Chan receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 31–42%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 42¢
- At least 50%
Will Connie Chan receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- At least 52%
Will Connie Chan receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 16¢
- At least 54%
Will Connie Chan receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
- At least 56%
Will Connie Chan receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 2¢
- At least 38%
Will Connie Chan receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 40%
Will Connie Chan receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 42%
Will Connie Chan receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
86%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
wide spread 80–91%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91¢
- At least 44%
Will Connie Chan receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 66–77%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 77¢
- At least 46%
Will Connie Chan receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 49–60%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 60¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Connie Chan in the 2026 CA-11 House election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.