Selected outcome
At least 52%
wide spread 59–70%
At least 52%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 44%
Will Scott Wiener receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$257 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 46%
Will Scott Wiener receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 48%
Will Scott Wiener receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96¢
- At least 50%
Will Scott Wiener receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- At least 52%
Will Scott Wiener receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 59–70%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 70¢
- At least 54%
Will Scott Wiener receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 41–52%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 52¢
- At least 56%
Will Scott Wiener receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 24–35%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 35¢
- At least 58%
Will Scott Wiener receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$63 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 21¢
- At least 60%
Will Scott Wiener receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-11 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Scott Wiener in the 2026 CA-11 House election is 52% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.