Selected outcome
At least 74%
At least 74%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- At least 70%
Will Robert Aderholt receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 72%
Will Robert Aderholt receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 74%
Will Robert Aderholt receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 76%
Will Robert Aderholt receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 78%
Will Robert Aderholt receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 69–80%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 80¢
- At least 80%
Will Robert Aderholt receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-04 House election?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$224 vol
wide spread 46–57%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 57¢
- At least 82%
Will Robert Aderholt receive at least 82% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-04 House election?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- At least 84%
Will Robert Aderholt receive at least 84% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
- At least 86%
Will Robert Aderholt receive at least 86% of the popular vote in the 2026 AL-04 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Robert Aderholt in the 2026 AL-04 House election is 74% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.