Selected outcome
At least 40%
At least 40%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 24%
Will James Russell receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 26%
Will James Russell receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-04 House election?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 28%
Will James Russell receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90¢
- At least 30%
Will James Russell receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
- At least 32%
Will James Russell receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-04 House election?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$100 vol
wide spread 45–56%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 56¢
- At least 34%
Will James Russell receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-04 House election?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$124 vol
wide spread 28–39%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 39¢
- At least 36%
Will James Russell receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- At least 38%
Will James Russell receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-04 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 12¢
- At least 40%
Will James Russell receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 AR-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by James Russell in the 2026 AR-04 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.