Selected outcome
At least 56%
wide spread 59–70%
At least 56%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 50%
Will Mike McGuire receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 52%
Will Mike McGuire receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98¢
- At least 54%
Will Mike McGuire receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- At least 56%
Will Mike McGuire receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 59–70%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 70¢
- At least 58%
Will Mike McGuire receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 39–50%
Bid 39¢ · Ask 50¢
- At least 60%
Will Mike McGuire receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 20–31%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 31¢
- At least 62%
Will Mike McGuire receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 18¢
- At least 64%
Will Mike McGuire receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 10¢
- At least 66%
Will Mike McGuire receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike McGuire in the 2026 CA-01 House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.