Selected outcome
At least 58%
wide spread 23–34%
At least 58%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- At least 50%
Will Tom McClintock receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 52%
Will Tom McClintock receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 77–88%
Bid 77¢ · Ask 88¢
- At least 54%
Will Tom McClintock receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 61–72%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 72¢
- At least 56%
Will Tom McClintock receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 42–53%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 53¢
- At least 58%
Will Tom McClintock receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 23–34%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 34¢
- At least 60%
Will Tom McClintock receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 9¢ · Ask 20¢
- At least 62%
Will Tom McClintock receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-05 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 64%
Will Tom McClintock receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
- At least 66%
Will Tom McClintock receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-05 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom McClintock in the 2026 CA-05 House election is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.