Selected outcome
At least 50%
7%
At least 50% · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 36%
Will Kevin Kiley receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢
- At least 38%
Will Kevin Kiley receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98¢
- At least 40%
Will Kevin Kiley receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- At least 42%
Will Kevin Kiley receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$174 vol
wide spread 59–70%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 70¢
- At least 44%
Will Kevin Kiley receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 40–51%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 51¢
- At least 46%
Will Kevin Kiley receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- At least 48%
Will Kevin Kiley receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 19¢
- At least 50%
Will Kevin Kiley receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 52%
Will Kevin Kiley receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-06 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Kevin Kiley in the 2026 CA-06 House election is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.