Selected outcome
At least 78%
wide spread 11–22%
At least 78%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 64%
Will John Garamendi receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 66%
Will John Garamendi receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢
- At least 68%
Will John Garamendi receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97¢
- At least 70%
Will John Garamendi receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- At least 72%
Will John Garamendi receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 62–73%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 73¢
- At least 74%
Will John Garamendi receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 44–55%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 55¢
- At least 76%
Will John Garamendi receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–37%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢
- At least 78%
Will John Garamendi receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-08 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- At least 80%
Will John Garamendi receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-08 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by John Garamendi in the 2026 CA-08 House election is 78% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.