Selected outcome
At least 64%
7%
At least 64% · 7%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 64%
Will Jay Obernolte receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-23 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 50%
Will Jay Obernolte receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 52%
Will Jay Obernolte receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98¢
- At least 54%
Will Jay Obernolte receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- At least 56%
Will Jay Obernolte receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–71%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 71¢
- At least 58%
Will Jay Obernolte receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 40–51%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 51¢
- At least 60%
Will Jay Obernolte receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–33%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢
- At least 62%
Will Jay Obernolte receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-23 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jay Obernolte in the 2026 CA-23 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.