Selected outcome
At least 30%
95%
At least 30% · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 42%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 14¢
- At least 44%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢
- At least 24%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 24% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 26%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 26% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 28%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 30%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 32%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92¢
- At least 34%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$138 vol
Bid 69¢ · Ask 77¢
- At least 36%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,126 vol
Bid 54¢ · Ask 64¢
- At least 38%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$895 vol
Bid 32¢ · Ask 41¢
- At least 40%
Will Bob Smith receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-24 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$70 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Bob Smith in the 2026 CA-24 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.