Selected outcome
At least 66%
wide spread 11–22%
At least 66%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 54%
Will Pete Aguilar receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 56%
Will Pete Aguilar receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 58%
Will Pete Aguilar receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$144 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90¢
- At least 60%
Will Pete Aguilar receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
- At least 62%
Will Pete Aguilar receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$148 vol
wide spread 46–57%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 57¢
- At least 64%
Will Pete Aguilar receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–37%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢
- At least 66%
Will Pete Aguilar receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- At least 68%
Will Pete Aguilar receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 12¢
- At least 70%
Will Pete Aguilar receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
- At least 72%
Will Pete Aguilar receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Pete Aguilar in the 2026 CA-33 House election is 66% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.