Selected outcome
At least 36%
wide spread 64–75%
At least 36%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 44%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 12¢
- At least 46%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 8¢
- At least 28%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 30%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 32%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 34%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90¢
- At least 36%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
- At least 38%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–56%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 56¢
- At least 40%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–37%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢
- At least 42%
Will Stephanie Vargas receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-33 House election?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$43 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 21¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Stephanie Vargas in the 2026 CA-33 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.