Selected outcome
At least 32%
At least 32%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 46%
Will Mike Cargile receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-35 House election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 9¢
- At least 30%
Will Mike Cargile receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-35 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 32%
Will Mike Cargile receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-35 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢
- At least 34%
Will Mike Cargile receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-35 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94¢
- At least 36%
Will Mike Cargile receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-35 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 69–80%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 80¢
- At least 38%
Will Mike Cargile receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-35 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 51–62%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 62¢
- At least 40%
Will Mike Cargile receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-35 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–42%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 42¢
- At least 42%
Will Mike Cargile receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-35 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
- At least 44%
Will Mike Cargile receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-35 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mike Cargile in the 2026 CA-35 House election is 32% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.