Selected outcome
At least 30%
At least 30%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 44%
Will Pedro Antonio Casas receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-38 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 28%
Will Pedro Antonio Casas receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-38 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 30%
Will Pedro Antonio Casas receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-38 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92¢
- At least 32%
Will Pedro Antonio Casas receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-38 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98¢
- At least 34%
Will Pedro Antonio Casas receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-38 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- At least 36%
Will Pedro Antonio Casas receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-38 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–69%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 69¢
- At least 38%
Will Pedro Antonio Casas receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-38 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 38–49%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 49¢
- At least 40%
Will Pedro Antonio Casas receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-38 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 20–31%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 31¢
- At least 42%
Will Pedro Antonio Casas receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-38 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 18¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Pedro Antonio Casas in the 2026 CA-38 House election is 30% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.