Selected outcome
At least 56%
wide spread 84–95%
At least 56%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- At least 56%
Will Mark Takano receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 58%
Will Mark Takano receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$340 vol
wide spread 72–83%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 83¢
- At least 60%
Will Mark Takano receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
64%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$128 vol
wide spread 55–66%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 66¢
- At least 62%
Will Mark Takano receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–46%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 46¢
- At least 64%
Will Mark Takano receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–29%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 29¢
- At least 66%
Will Mark Takano receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 16¢
- At least 68%
Will Mark Takano receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9¢
- At least 70%
Will Mark Takano receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- At least 72%
Will Mark Takano receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Takano in the 2026 CA-39 House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.