Selected outcome
At least 40%
wide spread 35–46%
At least 40%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 28%
Will Steve Manos receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 30%
Will Steve Manos receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 94¢
- At least 32%
Will Steve Manos receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 34%
Will Steve Manos receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96¢
- At least 36%
Will Steve Manos receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 72–83%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 83¢
- At least 38%
Will Steve Manos receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 55–66%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 66¢
- At least 40%
Will Steve Manos receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–46%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 46¢
- At least 42%
Will Steve Manos receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 18–29%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 29¢
- At least 44%
Will Steve Manos receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-39 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 17¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Steve Manos in the 2026 CA-39 House election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.