Selected outcome
At least 36%
wide spread 41–52%
At least 36%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 28%
Will Ricardo Cabrera receive at least 28% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-51 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 30%
Will Ricardo Cabrera receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-51 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$510 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 32%
Will Ricardo Cabrera receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-51 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$568 vol
wide spread 78–89%
Bid 78¢ · Ask 89¢
- At least 34%
Will Ricardo Cabrera receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-51 House election?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$124 vol
wide spread 61–72%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 72¢
- At least 36%
Will Ricardo Cabrera receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-51 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 41–52%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 52¢
- At least 38%
Will Ricardo Cabrera receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-51 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–33%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 33¢
- At least 40%
Will Ricardo Cabrera receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-51 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 19¢
- At least 42%
Will Ricardo Cabrera receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-51 House election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 44%
Will Ricardo Cabrera receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-51 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ricardo Cabrera in the 2026 CA-51 House election is 36% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.