Selected outcome
At least 64%
wide spread 51–62%
54%
At least 64% · 54%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 60%
Will Juan Vargas receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-52 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94¢
- At least 62%
Will Juan Vargas receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-52 House election?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$154 vol
wide spread 70–81%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 81¢
- At least 64%
Will Juan Vargas receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-52 House election?
54%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$432 vol
wide spread 51–62%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 62¢
- At least 66%
Will Juan Vargas receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-52 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$106 vol
wide spread 31–42%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 42¢
- At least 68%
Will Juan Vargas receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-52 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
- At least 70%
Will Juan Vargas receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-52 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 2¢ · Ask 13¢
- At least 72%
Will Juan Vargas receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-52 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
- At least 74%
Will Juan Vargas receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-52 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
- At least 76%
Will Juan Vargas receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 CA-52 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Juan Vargas in the 2026 CA-52 House election is 64% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.