Selected outcome
At least 74%
wide spread 21–32%
At least 74%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Office of Elections, Honolulu, HI (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 64%
Will Ed Case receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,365 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 66%
Will Ed Case receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 68%
Will Ed Case receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$512 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 90¢
- At least 70%
Will Ed Case receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?
69%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$680 vol
Bid 64¢ · Ask 74¢
- At least 72%
Will Ed Case receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
- At least 74%
Will Ed Case receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–32%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 32¢
- At least 76%
Will Ed Case receive at least 76% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 17¢
- At least 78%
Will Ed Case receive at least 78% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
- At least 80%
Will Ed Case receive at least 80% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-01 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ed Case in the 2026 HI-01 House election is 74% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.