Selected outcome
At least 70%
wide spread 15–26%
At least 70%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Office of Elections, Honolulu, HI (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 58%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$95 vol
last
Bid 91¢
- At least 60%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$182 vol
Bid 90¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 62%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95¢
- At least 64%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol
wide spread 73–84%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 84¢
- At least 66%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
wide spread 56–67%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 67¢
- At least 68%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$61 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
- At least 70%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- At least 72%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 72% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 13¢
- At least 74%
Will Jill Tokuda receive at least 74% of the popular vote in the 2026 HI-02 House election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jill Tokuda in the 2026 HI-02 House election is 70% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.