Selected outcome
At least 38%
wide spread 46–57%
At least 38%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 30%
Will Dave Dawson receive at least 30% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 32%
Will Dave Dawson receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢
- At least 34%
Will Dave Dawson receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93¢
- At least 36%
Will Dave Dawson receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 66–77%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 77¢
- At least 38%
Will Dave Dawson receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 46–57%
Bid 46¢ · Ask 57¢
- At least 40%
Will Dave Dawson receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 26–37%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 37¢
- At least 42%
Will Dave Dawson receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$295 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- At least 44%
Will Dave Dawson receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-04 House election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$205 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 12¢
- At least 46%
Will Dave Dawson receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 IA-04 House election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Dave Dawson in the 2026 IA-04 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.